World Cup 2026, od: USMNT opens as small favorite vs. Belgium in Round of 16

The United States doesn’t have a long and storied history of playing in the knockout round of the World Cup, so this is somewhat uncharted territory for the USMNT. But after defeating Bosnia & Herzegovina 2-0 on Wednesday night as a sizable -800 favorite to advance, the USMNT is again favored in its Round of 16 matchup against Belgium on Monday, July 6 in Seattle. The United States opened as a -120 favorite to advance at BetMGM, with Belgium at -105. On the three-way line, the U.S. is +150, Belgium +170 and a draw has +240 odds. The U.S. would be a bigger favorite if it was playing with star forward Folarin Balogun, who will have to miss the match after getting a controversial red card in the 64th minute against Bosnia & Herzegovina with the U.S. leading 1-0. Despite the VAR controversy, the U.S. can’t appeal the red card, and so Balogun will have to miss the match. The USMNT has been a thorn in the side of sportsbooks throughout the tournament, as the betting public has loaded up on the U.S. to win all of its four matches — and profited on three of the four. On Wednesday night, multiple sportsbooks reported lopsided action on the U.S. with upwards of 85% of bets and 90% of money wagered on the team to win. “As we've become accustomed to, the USMNT were extremely popular with our bettors, attracting 91% of handle in the match betting market,” Mark Bickerdike, head of soccer at Caesars Sportsbook, said in a statement. “In addition, 87% of handle was on Mauricio Pochettino's men in the to qualify market, so it's fair to say we have plenty of happy bettors this evening.” Caesars reported that the U.S.-Bosnia & Herzegovina match generated the most money wagered every for a soccer match at the sportsbook. The U.S. men’s national team hasn’t been the quarterfinals of a World Cup since 2002, when it defeated Mexico 2-0 in the Round of 16.